Stock Market Doomsday Scenario? | By Adam Khoo

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  • Publicado el 29 sep 2022

Comentarios • 186

  • M L
    M L Hace 4 meses +38

    Adam you are not just a great financial teacher but also a great motivator

  • Sun Shine
    Sun Shine Hace 4 meses +30

    Adam, Congrats on your recovery and again many thanks to your analysis and insights. These are much needed and timely in this turbulent market.

  • Snorlax and Sydney on roblox

    Thanks Adam! Glad you are healthy! Really appreciate you give us direction and confidence as always! 🙏🙏🙏

  • Mike Roth
    Mike Roth Hace 4 meses +14

    Always the best info on the web. Honest and factual, no moon boy or doom boy. Always wisdom backed up by historical data 👍
    Thanks Adam!

  • Gill Tan
    Gill Tan Hace 4 meses +2

    Thank you Adam! One of the most consistent and rational investing voices on ESclips 🙏 Thank you for all the value that you provide for us and all the misery you save us from!

  • Richard Edwards
    Richard Edwards Hace 4 meses +13

    been looking forward to latest video for a few days now - so thanks for that! Unlike the past, I am seeing this correction as an opportunity, watching to see if it gets to -20%. The next fib level of 380 is around that amount, so I am thinking of adding a small amount of SPY (well CSPX here in UK) soon. Last entry was 412 I think.

  • Jens Müller
    Jens Müller Hace 4 meses

    Hello Adam, I like your positive attitude. Still there are some things that are just wrong. (1) In your presentation you show around the 12 min the inflation in US which is correct. Now the point is you have to show inflation adjusted returns because the money depreciated or in other words if you have after several years the same money as before you actually lost a lot. This is the real problem, since even going sideways makes you lose money. (2) the bull run of the last years was based on exploiting the environment, increasing population on earth, globalization, central banks spending money (M2). All of that led to real (inflation adjusted) growth. At some point a limit of growth will be reached, which is clear because growth is proportional to energy consumption and after 500 years with 5% growth we would go from 10^21 joule (current energy output on earth) to 10^21 * (1,05)^500 = 10^31 which is around the energy output of our sun. In other words, there is a limit to growth and this will be reached at some point.

  • mikedok1
    mikedok1 Hace 4 meses

    Glad 🙂 you’re doing a lot better, Adam. COVID sucks. Thank you for the analysis as well.

  • Tommy
    Tommy Hace 4 meses +3

    Thanks Adam. You are our silver lining in these darkest turbulence times.

  • Yoda
    Yoda Hace 4 meses +6

    Love you Adam, take care of your health, and thanks for this amazing content as usual

  • MeetingMsMe
    MeetingMsMe  Hace 4 meses

    Always great to hear from you! Thank you Adam!

  • Barlyn Uribe
    Barlyn Uribe Hace 4 meses +6

    Pretty solid Analysis Adam. Good insights as always.

  • Christian Jacques Bennett
    Christian Jacques Bennett Hace 4 meses +3

    Adam you are without any doubt the best trading coach on the planet 🌍 I love it when I hear you explain things because everything you say makes me nod my head and think ‘He’s right on that, there is no BS coming out of his mouth and no sales pitch’ ... so refreshing to hear someone who cuts through the crud and just explains the subject truthfully. Glad you’re over COVID. Take care today 👍

  • maria sandra
    maria sandra Hace 4 meses +1

    The stock market is still a fantastic tool for building wealth, however, so it's wise to consider investing even if you don't have much money to spare

  • Landis K
    Landis K Hace 4 meses +1

    Well said and thank you for the word of wisdom

  • Rajiv Kapoor
    Rajiv Kapoor Hace 4 meses

    Adam . Thank you for another educational video. Your video are original and you put lot of afforts to present and analyses. 👍

  • Free Spirits
    Free Spirits Hace 4 meses +1

    love your video, great analysis, love your energy, optimism, great analogy and humor! you also has a talent to make difficult invesment lesson easy to be understood! it's fun to watch your video!

  • Jai
    Jai Hace 4 meses

    I love having a positive and successful mindset. I can say from experience that it absolutely works and will get your further than anything else as you said. I read your "I am Gifted" book in p5 and it was an oasis in the desert of a poor-minded upbringing. Now I am much older and have broken out of all of that and and somehow found my way back to your content. Lol

  • Johan Westhuyzen
    Johan Westhuyzen Hace 4 meses

    Thank you for a great video. Would you say the same approach applies for investing in ETF’s?

  • The Westerosi Ninja
    The Westerosi Ninja Hace 4 meses

    Thank you for comparing the 70s to now as they're similar macroeconomic environments with high inflation. Other people who are comparing what's happening now with recent 21st century corrections are not doing apples-to-apples comparisons.

  • Ian Polo
    Ian Polo Hace 4 meses

    Thank you Adam for the positive advice.

  • David Rubalcaba
    David Rubalcaba Hace 4 meses +1

    Adam, I am glad you recovered from this terrible virus. May you and your family remain safe.
    You are a valuable source of information to this community. Great teacher. Your positive outlook in life inspires me. Thank you for all that you do. Much love. Keep up the great work.

  • Seibel Alexander
    Seibel Alexander Hace 4 meses +8

    You helped me a lot in hard times, with your optimistic view. Thank you!

    • Leo
      Leo Hace 4 meses

      are you sure the optimistic view is good for you?

  • MrJasionis
    MrJasionis Hace 4 meses

    Hello sir,
    I'm with you from very first video and you always talk sense and I like your relaxed approach. I want to thank you for being with us and sharing your experiences and wisdom. Take care and all the best to you and your family, hope this friendship through the screen never ends.

  • May Bo Hubbard
    May Bo Hubbard Hace 4 meses

    Uncle Adam! So happy you recovered from covid you are seriously one of my favorite people to listen to! So positive and real! Thank you! 👍

  • Lê Hoàng Hải Official

    Always stay true to your believe, thanks Adam for sharing your great perspective.

  • Sebastian Calderone
    Sebastian Calderone Hace 4 meses +1

    What a rock in these tough times you are, Adam. Scary times....because it's looking more and more like the US economy is being exposed as a giant sham. So rates are going up....big deal. Or, it SHOULD be a "meh." Rates aren't even close to where they were before the Fed panicked and slashed them to zero when the US economy shut down for 6 weeks. This should not be resulting in what is fast becoming a meltdown. Unless....the US economy is much weaker and much more dependent on ultra low interest rates than most people thought. We got a taste of what this new reality may be in late 2015 and 2018, when the Fed tried to raise rates. Both times, the economy fell off a cliff, and both times the Fed had to back off. I don't doubt at all that if inflation was under control, the Fed would be done with raising rates. Hell....in December they were saying we'd get three rate hikes in all of 2022 (quarter points). We've already had that, and now the Street is expecting another half point next month. The US economy cannot handle rates rising 100% (yeah....forget the half percentage nonsense....rates have gone up by over 100% this year, already). This market isn't freefalling because of rising rates and recalculated discounted cash flow models. It's melting down because the street is discounting a severe recession coming down the pipe. Until that perception (that there is going to be a worse than usual recession) changes, any bounce will be short lived knife catching.

  • Mathias Sergio
    Mathias Sergio Hace 4 meses +1

    I am continuing to Add to my portfolio. As warren Buffet said "be brave when everyone else is fearful ". The stock market ALWAYS recover, so hold for long term and have the stomach for the ride 👍.

  • Tim Hashimoto
    Tim Hashimoto Hace 4 meses +1

    The April CPI is reported to be 8.3%, slightly down from March 8.5%. However is not enough to prove inflation can continue come down.

  • Timothy Odaniell
    Timothy Odaniell Hace 4 meses

    Love this! Excellent overview here. Thank you

  • Chris Gordyn
    Chris Gordyn Hace 4 meses +6

    Congrats getting over covid and coming back strong, Adam.

  • JayMor
    JayMor Hace 4 meses

    Thank you as always Adam! Salute!👊

  • Robert Slone
    Robert Slone Hace 4 meses

    Awesome video Adam! Great explanation of investing...

  • Ramkumar K
    Ramkumar K Hace 4 meses

    Great video Adam. Glad you recovered from covid. It can indeed be a terrible experience.
    On a lighter note, to quote Keynes, "in the long run we will all be dead" :)

  • Underdog 2299
    Underdog 2299 Hace 4 meses +1

    April posted a bearish engulfing red candle in monthly timeframe April is the best month of the Dow and in top 2 best for S&P 500. Last moment in history April was engulfing red was April 2002 (-5.82%) which was followed by an additional loss of -16.19% on SPY in next 3 months. Important to note event was triggered during bear market 2000-2002 after .com bubble and after fed rate increase .+50 in May 2000.

  • soheb rehman
    soheb rehman Hace 4 meses

    always good content with facts.

  • Mr Stock2021
    Mr Stock2021 Hace 4 meses

    Finally! my favorite stock expert Adam posted his video. Excited to watch it tonight after work.

  • YX
    YX Hace 4 meses

    Always great listening to you!!

  • HBassi
    HBassi Hace 4 meses

    Now we know what was happening this past week🤣 to the market. It was not Adam getting covid, it was market who got it. Anyways, Glad you are doing fine , I was waiting for your update.

  • Haim Attias
    Haim Attias Hace 4 meses +7

    Interesting video. the comparison to the 70's is necessary as it is for the demonstration purposes for the doomsday scenario only highlights the unlikelihood of that scenario because its a completely different world today. yes high inflation, yes war and even covid and series of other worrisome events and processes are still developing but its very very different economy and geopolitical world as well. not good nor better just different enough that its unlikely the same as the 70's all over again. so yes doomsday is possible still and even worse than the 70's but the likelihood of it in my opinion isnt. good luck to us all

  • Bhupenndra
    Bhupenndra Hace 4 meses

    Appreciate your efforts adam

  • Schimidzu Jane
    Schimidzu Jane Hace 4 meses +1

    Nice video!! Very engaging from the beginning to
    the END., I'm new to crypto trade and I have been
    making huge losses but recently see a lot of
    people earning from it. Can someone please tell
    me what I'm doing wrong

  • Akash Gunjal
    Akash Gunjal Hace 4 meses

    Highly informative content delivered for free Hats off to you man keep up the good work hope you have a faster recovery!😄

  • Jack Jiang
    Jack Jiang Hace 4 meses

    great information and you are always positive, thanks so much!😀

  • YoungMoneyFuture
    YoungMoneyFuture Hace 4 meses

    Glad to hear your feeling better brother!😎👍

  • olja sindjelic
    olja sindjelic Hace 4 meses +2

    I think it is unlikely that the Fed will raise interest rates significantly. In the 1970s, the United States was not over-indebted as it is now.

  • Tomasz Antosiewicz
    Tomasz Antosiewicz Hace 4 meses +1

    I think we are in January of 2008. Markets were crashing everyday then there was a period of upwards grind of more than 6 months before REAL recession and Lehman happened. Looks and feels very similar now.

  • Paul
    Paul Hace 4 meses

    good to see you made it through strong Adam. take care

  • Ray K
    Ray K Hace 4 meses +2

    Good to hear on your speedy recovery. Thank you for your time today's video

  • Sienna
    Sienna Hace 4 meses

    I have been waiting for your video, Adam. I needed this therapy. Thank you!

  • toy reviews
    toy reviews Hace 4 meses

    Makes sense. Thanks for the message.

  • Made Surya Kumara
    Made Surya Kumara Hace 4 meses

    Definitely an excellent motivator..😁👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

  • Paul Hwu
    Paul Hwu Hace 4 meses +1

    stagflation in 1970's was fueled by leaving the gold standard as market panicked and crashed as petrodollar was used -

  • Mr Ooah
    Mr Ooah Hace 4 meses

    The graph towards the end that shows +2,213% since 1973, what are the chances the market can actually do that again over the next 50 years? It just seems impossible for the economy to always grow so rapidly. That’s part of investing that I have a hard time wrapping my head around. I know you take it quarter by quarter but expecting that same growth that we’ve always had is just hard to expect. I think a lot of young people fee this way and is why so many are into cryptos bc they “promise” that return

  • typing...
    typing... Hace 4 meses +2

    Thank you Adam and you never say there is 100% guarantee for the bottom low can always go lower and high can always go higher. I love that the bus must be pretty light now. So much knowledge I have learned from you I have been the calmest in this bear market vs others. Thank Adam. Covid was my worst bear market lost 80% of all my wealth. I got back on the horse and was determined to beat the market. o

  • Max
    Max Hace 4 meses

    Glad you’re back Adam. Get better.

  • Benjamin Chang
    Benjamin Chang Hace 4 meses

    That was a nice use of the word negative. Love you, Adam!

  • Nico Cabello
    Nico Cabello Hace 4 meses

    You are not just teaching how to invest, You are teaching hoy to live too
    Saludos desde Argentina.

  • seekingbuddha
    seekingbuddha Hace 4 meses

    Great video. I am a subscriber, waiting to hear your stock recommendations for the next 1 year period ( as accumulate time ). Can you give 5 to 10 stocks in comments or in next video. Thx

  • inmortal009
    inmortal009 Hace 4 meses +2

    glad to see you back and healthy Adam, that the most important asset

  • James McQuien
    James McQuien Hace 4 meses

    Adam, please address, if you can, how the FEDs reversal of QE will affect this market. With the FED no longer propping up markets, could this bloodbath go on for much longer than most people realize. IE, a lost decade.

  • Tim Hashimoto
    Tim Hashimoto Hace 4 meses +1

    Congrats on your recovery, love and grateful to your sharing.

  • My Lawd
    My Lawd Hace 4 meses

    I was thinking to myself today. The housing market is booming right now and the stock market is down. BUT the banks are making all this money from home sales, the banks puts their money in the stock market. So banks loading up on stocks with over inflated home prices.
    Food for thought

  • Ricddd
    Ricddd Hace 4 meses

    Got your strategy, thanks.
    Now I only need someone to lend me a ton of money to invest it accordingly. Lol.
    Thanks for the video and always hope for the best (while being ready for the worst).
    Ciao.😉

  • Mr Stock2021
    Mr Stock2021 Hace 4 meses

    Adam I always listen to your advice and make profit. Thanks

  • AG Tolentino
    AG Tolentino Hace 4 meses

    But what is your take when Fed withdraws QE which dried up liquidity in stocks and bond markets, while raising interest rates in a geopolitically unstable times. Isn’t it a perfect tsunami that may damage investor’s appetite in the next 3-5 years, at least?

  • Balo Fares
    Balo Fares Hace 4 meses

    I am extreemly unluky because my first stick i ever bought was baba at 175 in september. Then start buying in october november and december. Now i am down too much and stoped avereging down because no money left. That was my hard working money that i saved for 5 years. And just started in september because a friend get me interested in stock market and I do regret not educating my self and having good knowledge about investing or trading before starting this journey. Lost almost half of the money .

  • nick nick
    nick nick Hace 4 meses

    Thanks Adam. I am feeling better after watching your video today.

  • Banksie
    Banksie Hace 4 meses

    Why is no one talking about the 34% drop in 2/2020 - 04/2020 in the SPY? That has the exact trajectory as this, except this is taking longer...in 2020 it rebounded in 62 days.

  • CryptoBoerboel
    CryptoBoerboel Hace 4 meses

    Great Content. Thank you ❤

  • CosTA
    CosTA Hace 4 meses

    Great video, Adam! Thank you.
    how about the TLT, do you buy it at this time?

  • Christian H. Riiser
    Christian H. Riiser Hace 4 meses

    Another great video from you Adam - I have a very defensive dividend portfolio containing only dividend paying companies (mainly REIT's and healthcare) - now due to the bear market attractive tech stocks are decent valued like : Adobe, Salesforce, Paypal, Amazon etc. - they are all on my watchlist ! - maybe I start dipping into them !

  • Vito G
    Vito G Hace 4 meses

    I will add this video in my Calendar for every midterm election... this is freaking frustrating

  • JC
    JC Hace 4 meses

    NEW SUBSCRIBER! Awesome video today! Amazing, energized insights - thank you!

  • Chris D
    Chris D Hace 4 meses

    I want to complain because I was overleveraged and getting margin calls. But, this is my fault!

  • Okchaz
    Okchaz Hace 4 meses +1

    It sure is exciting, can’t lie, I can watch this market all day

  • soulsister
    soulsister Hace 4 meses

    Not even COVID gets you down...I love it!!

  • NL
    NL Hace 4 meses

    Stock, bond, bitcoin are all dropping. Margin calls are kicking in, and these asset value are dropping even more because of that.

  • Tim Hashimoto
    Tim Hashimoto Hace 4 meses

    I am young investor in my 20s. I was not born during 1973 to 1998, will this return of 2213 % repeat ?

  • Travel-Maps
    Travel-Maps Hace 4 meses

    What if the great stock i bought last year Meli, XBI, Amazon, SPGI , Veev, NOW, Tencent etc. in 5-10 year time when the market recovers these companies just are profitable anymore? Adam is explaining a scenario if you only invest in the SPY. If i only invested in the SPY i would still be up from the high of Feb 2020! Unfortunately i did not just invest in the spy.

    • Andy Roid
      Andy Roid Hace 4 meses

      These are stocks with moats that could last at least longer term, maybe 5 years or more. Certainly, SPY is more enduring.
      Of course,, if you have a basket of good individual value stocks (hopefully in different sectors), collectively they are also less risky. I believe that's why he says to have 20 or so value stocks for your portfolio.

  • yeeen123
    yeeen123 Hace 4 meses +1

    Congrats on ur recovery, glad that u look as healthy as before! I am currently waiting for mine to be over. Thanks for ur sharing!

  • Elvira Alfonso
    Elvira Alfonso Hace 4 meses +1

    Year 2022 is not good for stock market as it is filled with so much uncertainty. I’m close to 40 with a good 20-25 years to retirement so I’ll stay invested even when I’m losing like 10k per day. I’m going to use the opportunity to add more shares at cheaper prices. Good investing all!

  • Chip Sun
    Chip Sun Hace 4 meses

    Love you Adam! Glad ur back!

  • George Ramos
    George Ramos Hace 4 meses +1

    Hit 138k today.. thanks for all the knowledge and nuggets you had to thrown my way over the last month. Started with 14k on June 2021

  • Naveenkumar Swamy
    Naveenkumar Swamy Hace 4 meses

    Sir, could you please tell me which platform is best to work on for forex trading ??? Trading view or any other platforms ?

  • icu too
    icu too Hace 4 meses

    Like your videos. Now is a great time to think about those Roth Conversions. I'm just sitting and getting ready to pounce on this great opportunity.

  • Joshi Janak
    Joshi Janak Hace 4 meses

    Congratulations to you on your recovery

  • Eric manir
    Eric manir Hace 4 meses +2

    Congratulations to me on acquiring a new house due to the investment I made on stocks, 2022 is going to be a great year for me.

  • Caio Felipe
    Caio Felipe Hace 4 meses

    Thanks Adam! I’m from Brazil and I really like your videos…

  • supercharger
    supercharger Hace 4 meses

    erm adam.... looking at your Fed Funds vs Market Index chart, the bull came because the Fed reduced rates again in mid 1974 and the market reacted to the drop and the fed kept the rates low until it gradually raised it to 18% which was when the market tanked again. I am still buying in to average down but wondering about the validity of the tie in between fed fund % and market as you had described vs the idea to time the market instead of just buying in each time it drops say 10% so that average cost is lower.

  • Ovidiu Frasie
    Ovidiu Frasie Hace 4 meses

    Hi Adam. Great video as always. Welcome back.
    What do you thing about a video about some of the best opportunities on the market now? Thanks.

  • Robert Lambert
    Robert Lambert Hace 4 meses

    a lot of panic happening right now. shit's crazy! who's still making profits? I'm feeling discouraged

  • Amy Hoang
    Amy Hoang Hace 4 meses

    Welcome back, Adam. And thank you!

  • Fishphage
    Fishphage Hace 4 meses

    Glad to see you are back to your usual Adam self.

  • Andi
    Andi Hace 4 meses +1

    It seems the Fed chair is walking on a tight rope, and for sure he will increase another 50 basis points, but if he decides to increase another rate, IMO it means the end of the American and world economy.

  • Sandeep Kumar
    Sandeep Kumar Hace 4 meses

    Welcome back! Wish you good health! Very informative video.

  • A Ali
    A Ali Hace 4 meses

    Thank you!

  • Andrew Lee
    Andrew Lee Hace 4 meses

    Haha funny Adam I chuckled twice just in the 1st min actually the 1st 20 second get well soon sir

  • Lim CH
    Lim CH Hace 4 meses

    Next month inflation data will reach another new record high 9-10% as gasoline and diesel prices reach new high tis week

  • Vasilis Fotakis
    Vasilis Fotakis Hace 4 meses

    Glad you are healthy Adam!