Stock Market At a Critical Point!

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  • Publicado el 6 sep 2022
  • After pulling back for 2 weeks, the S&P 500 is now at a critical level of support.
    The Fed is going to step up its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program to $95 billion a month, Fed Chair has threatened the market with higher interest rates, inflation continues to surge. Can the market find a bottom and rebound or is there much more pain ahead. Watch my latest insights into the US markets!
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Comentarios • 160

  • Ronza149
    Ronza149 Hace 17 días +1

    Huge respect to Adam as always, but let's admit it: you can't get it right every single time. Still looking forward to new videos of an updated outlook given hotter than expected inflation numbers.

  • Liam Bracey
    Liam Bracey Hace 22 días +22

    No worries for me, I don't try to time the market. When I see that stock drops below its fair value with some margin of safety - I buy. Past 2-3 months have been huge shopping spree for me. I've got literally like 2k left of investing cash. Probably I will miss some occasions in the future months, but who cares as long as I got value?

    • Farida Machia
      Farida Machia Hace 19 días +1

      Please what stocks have you bought so far?

  • David Rubalcaba
    David Rubalcaba Hace 22 días +2

    Great video. Have to say, out of all the youtubers out there, I rate your videos and information number 1. The information you provide is very insightful and taught so that anyone, even a newbie like me, can understand. I look forward to every new video you put out.
    Thank you for this.

  • CK YEAP
    CK YEAP Hace 22 días +2

    Thank you master Adam for your insights! Was really useful and i do agree with your terms. Im more into turning bullish after this and cpi result release by next week. Thanks again!

  • Emmanuel Finance
    Emmanuel Finance Hace 22 días +10

    Love your TA Adam, it’s been an incredible guide for us through this bear market

  • Peter Duarte
    Peter Duarte Hace 19 días +2

    Another great explanation and informative session. Thanks Adam. I really do appreciate and value your monthly newsletters.

  • The DAILY Games
    The DAILY Games Hace 22 días +12

    Amazing details. Thanks Adam Khoo for the insight summary in a single video. Make it very easy to digest the information with good applicable knowledge. Cheers!

  • hans T
    hans T Hace 18 días +4

    So what about Europe and the rising dollar which could easily rise even more. I think earnings are going to get hurt when the recession really kicks in with much higher unemployment and decreasing consumer spending.

  • NL
    NL Hace 22 días +1

    Thanks, how would the stock market in Europe and Asia, which are in bad shapes, affect the U.S. stock market?

  • Rachh
    Rachh Hace 17 días +4

    Other gurus will just tell people that the economy is crashing without giving facts but Adam always backs up with datas. Thanks for the market insight! I have forex tradings so would not really be affected by this

  • DIY & Life Skills
    DIY & Life Skills Hace 22 días +3

    No significant changes to major economic indicators so Powell’s message should be same hawkish tone. If anything, job market proves to be strong and economic indicators are not showing significant slowdown other than housing. Yesterday was a technical bounce due to RSI being oversold and was helped by tanking 10 year rate. Downtrend is still in play but we may go sideways up and down until CPI and PPI comes out next week, that should confirm continued downtrend or reattempt the uptrend reversal.

  • S Muller
    S Muller Hace 19 días +2

    excellent overview as always!

  • Daniel Ta
    Daniel Ta Hace 22 días +1

    Great video Adam, you are one of very few people who are still bullish on the market. Glad to see both sides of the situation. Thanks!

  • Cody Stephenson
    Cody Stephenson Hace 20 días +1

    Really appreciate you Adam. You seem to get it right alot of the time

  • Morry Lauder
    Morry Lauder Hace 20 días +1

    "I look for investments with low risk and high returns, favoring cash-rich companies with low debts and the potential to consistently increase their earnings." Adam Khoo

  • Georgina Louis
    Georgina Louis Hace 21 un día +3

    I wonder what the best opportunities to invest now are, there are opinions but a little later I find out these opinions don't matter as a totally different turn of events play out with the stocks they discussed therein.

  • German Esparza
    German Esparza Hace 22 días +1

    amazing presentation... as always!

  • One Gaia
    One Gaia Hace 22 días +2

    Appreciate your insight, Adam..thank you so much

  • SWING TRADING ENGINEER
    SWING TRADING ENGINEER Hace 20 días +1

    We are monitoring it closely. The bounce on this golden pocket seems pretty healthy for two consecutives days. Great analysis mate

  • Dave Radiofm
    Dave Radiofm Hace 21 un día +1

    Keeps me focused on where I should focus. Very generous Adam as always. Many thanks 🌞

  • SoldierTV
    SoldierTV Hace 20 días +1

    Adam since we closed above 405 today where do you think we will be heading to? Your analysis really helped for the past month. Thank for everything you do for the ESclips community.

  • rapeyt kame
    rapeyt kame Hace 22 días +3

    I learnt to manage my money through investments and it really works for me. They say money can't buy happiness but poverty can't buy anything.

  • Mike Bustamante
    Mike Bustamante Hace 21 un día +1

    This guy is right. Today is sept.9 and as he concluded stock is gonna go up if powel will not give a negative speech.

  • Cathy G
    Cathy G Hace 22 días +1

    The market was pretty bullish last September.

  • munirah amin
    munirah amin Hace 15 días

    Adam could you comment on META in your next video? Is it still a profitable and safe company to invest in for the long term? Btw, I love all your videos and watched almost all! keep making videos and sharing knowledge!

  • Andreas Ruhlmann
    Andreas Ruhlmann Hace 22 días +2

    You cannot compare corporate earnings yield with 10 yr treasury... the later is risk-free while the former is far from it....maybe best to compare it to corporate bond yields...also earnings yield is obviously at risk in a rising interest rate environment.

  • Wealthy Detective
    Wealthy Detective Hace 22 días +2

    Isn't the TGA at $0.6T currently? In your notes you said $1.8T... (that was the peak in July 2020)

  • Notary S
    Notary S Hace 21 un día +1

    Earnings profitability is surprisingly high. Wonder if that is due to diminishing competition from growing monopolies.

  • Jay Gattani
    Jay Gattani Hace 6 días

    Hey Adam. Could you do a follow upon this video as we just passed the 3rd week and wanted to get your views based on new facts of how you are thinking about the market performance from now till year end😅

  • GT Sipe
    GT Sipe Hace 21 un día +1

    Great content Sir!

  • chuyên đời phải thế đó

    Special thanks . If I share with you, I will understand more about the market.

  • Corey Moullas
    Corey Moullas Hace 21 un día +1

    Don’t fight the fed. Do as they say and enjoy your life!

  • Super Savage Spirit
    Super Savage Spirit Hace 22 días +3

    U.S stops using the reserve oil a week before midterms, which is why gas prices are down. What a coincidence. Everything will go lower after midterms because they won't have a reason to maintain things anymore

    • Gary Simon
      Gary Simon Hace 19 días

      What about a presidential election in 2 yrs?

  • Winston L
    Winston L Hace 22 días +1

    Thanks for sharing your insights. They are helpful.

  • imeldo marcos
    imeldo marcos Hace 20 días +1

    Hmmm i dont agree with what you say, but i believe the fed ought to be more agressive by selling direct.
    SPR release be stopped soon, expect crude oil to soar soon.

  • Jacobsen1987
    Jacobsen1987 Hace 11 días

    Earnings won't crash in advance and wait a few weeks for investors to react. When the crash of earnings will be preparing s&p would already be much lower.

  • Funny Monkeee
    Funny Monkeee Hace 22 días +7

    A rising stock market causes inflation. It is counter-productive for the stock market to rise because it will cause inflation to come back. By continuing to raise interest rates, the Fed wants the stock market to crash to cause "The Great Deflation". The Fed's 0% interest rate policy for 2 years caused Financial bubbles in housing, stocks, commodities, etc that have to be popped. You are also missing the world inflation and recession problem from the Ukraine War which is causing a lot of uncertainty.

  • RockTheCage55
    RockTheCage55 Hace 22 días +6

    flawed. In the last 20 years the average S&P 500 PE was 26. Ever since 2008 the fed has injected adrenaline into the system so a large part of your sample data is during that time period. I'm going all the way back to 1871 and the average has been 15.98. We already at 20. Most of the earnings improvements have came from price increases because of inflation (they passed on their price increases and then some to the consumer).

    • RockTheCage55
      RockTheCage55 Hace 16 días

      @imeldo marcos that’s what some said back in 2000 and what happened then. There is always excuses. Low interest rates, it’s different this time, etc.

    • imeldo marcos
      imeldo marcos Hace 20 días

      20 is decent. Because past 20 years , most of the time it is kore than 20.

  • Morry Lauder
    Morry Lauder Hace 20 días +1

    Wow. Very weak trend line. You know Powell will hold his tightening to rein in inflation. It has got to hurt. Meaning lower home prices and lower capital spending and less hiring. Buying opportunities today or later?

  • Landis K
    Landis K Hace 10 días

    Yield curve has been more & more inverted compared to 3 months ago 2yr vs 10yr

  • Duran
    Duran Hace 22 días +2

    What about future value of the market?
    I assume we should always care more about the future expectations of the valuation of the market & NOT the current market value or the 10yrs average?

  • Nadine Persaud
    Nadine Persaud Hace 22 días +2

    I like your explanation. You are very knowledgeable.

  • David Luong
    David Luong Hace 22 días +3

    First to comment, I'm a new lurker of your videos and find it amazingly useful! You explain things very well and makes sense most of the time. Keep up the good work and I'll definitely subscribe from now on ;)

  • Waterlulu
    Waterlulu Hace 22 días +1

    Thank you for such a good and useful sharing

  • Armen Mirzoyan
    Armen Mirzoyan Hace 22 días +1

    Thanks for the review! Very useful!

  • Mahesh Marathe
    Mahesh Marathe Hace 22 días +1

    Thanks for update
    Keep doing this
    This is helpful

  • Andrea Roberto
    Andrea Roberto Hace 22 días +1

    LOVE YOU Adam, you are a genius!

  • Hanabadah
    Hanabadah Hace 22 días +1

    Shipping freight rates have been increasing in anticipation of new negotiations from its labor unions. ILWU are under negotiations for all of the west coast

  • Alan Tan
    Alan Tan Hace 14 días

    RIP on those who bought the dip, now you have to buy more options and sink further. Hope you are prepared for the big one. Next target will be US500 3,400 levels, do not be stopped out

  • QZ .C
    QZ .C Hace 21 un día +1

    Hi Adam, a little biased in my opinion. wage growth continues to be strong and you didn't mention it in your video.

  • ruthlessluder
    ruthlessluder Hace 22 días +1

    Adam I'm curious about the market bottom indicator you use a lot but you're not using now. The William %R and the Normalized ATR. Can you show us if that indicator says we've bottomed? Thanks.

  • henry massawe
    henry massawe Hace 22 días

    He is always insightful and informative as well

  • Sophie‘s Toronto Life 多伦多 • 股市人生

    Adam, the fibonacci time window can tell us the market will rise up on Wednesday. It is Day 55.

  • Dinesh Kumar
    Dinesh Kumar Hace 22 días +1

    Great, as usual!

  • R C
    R C Hace 22 días +2

    Thank you Adam for your wisdom. We still want a complete bust though. Cheap prices.

  • Nadex 5 minutes strategy
    Nadex 5 minutes strategy Hace 11 días

    there is good change to trade options or spread when market volatile

  • Des
    Des Hace 22 días +15

    Just wondering, should we factor in the risk premium for stocks when comparing with bonds? Considering 10yr is risk free and we need to factor in various risk premium for stocks... like default risk, liquidity risk, etc.

    • SherJatt
      SherJatt Hace 21 un día +1

      If your worried about risk then why not dollar cost average into an etf

  • Sunny Gupta
    Sunny Gupta Hace 12 días

    Sir Please Make an Update Video regarding Market Crash and Cheapness in stocks like Meta, Adobe, Nvidia, Nike.

  • PositiveVibes
    PositiveVibes Hace 22 días +1

    The 10 year SPY P/E ratio is skewed due to non stop QE by the FED. The FED is now in non-stop QT which is why people are saying the markets are vastly over valued. The markets are priced like we are in QE not QT so are not reflective of reality and still in speculation prices.

    • Super Savage Spirit
      Super Savage Spirit Hace 22 días

      They actually haven't even started the tightening despite what they initially said. It starts this month so prepare

  • Martin Blunier
    Martin Blunier Hace 22 días +1

    as allways,great video👍

  • typing...
    typing... Hace 22 días +1

    thanks Adam great info

  • Zaki Abdelqader
    Zaki Abdelqader Hace 22 días +9

    Thanx Adam for the effort , but let me deviate from your analysis based on :
    Why should J.P changed his tone of tightening to more easing in this short period since last speech ?
    CPI is not showing a real decline yet to make FED change his mind !!
    ECB is likely to rise rate by 75 pts. knowing how stubborn is he !!
    this will give J.P an extra tightening policy actions till now to go with until real signs of deflation .
    I believe markets needs another leg down before shooting UP ( which I agree with you on )
    yesterday bounce up is just another a small dead cat bounce back and slowing of down move effect
    I am Short for the short term , and Optimistic for Mid/Long Term as you
    Good Luck to All and let see

    • imeldo marcos
      imeldo marcos Hace 20 días +1

      Agreed, i think another leg down will be better after this rise.

  • A T
    A T Hace 22 días

    What a great video. ♥️♥️

  • SIA
    SIA Hace 15 días

    Hi adam, could you comment for adobe paying extreme value for figma ?

  • Yen Liu
    Yen Liu Hace 17 días +2

    I was raised that the stock market was a rich man’s game(yep, grandparents lost it all back in the day and preached that forever) but I’ve been around long enough to truly taste just how profitable it can be, with inflation at 9.2% surely these are desperate times, but in my opinion there’s no market condition a proper financial advisor can’t scale through, especially ones that’s been around since the crisis of ’08 and before.

  • A
    A Hace 22 días +1

    Adam the Best Ever 🙌🏻😍🚀

  • Richael Sophia
    Richael Sophia Hace 21 un día +3

    Options always go against me and I can't utilize scanners efficiently, I need a reproducible passive income strategy that will replace my wage income.

    • MrMr. Griff
      MrMr. Griff Hace 19 días

      Please let me know when you find out? My Options always go the wrong way too.

  • Pavel Sokov
    Pavel Sokov Hace 22 días +8

    Would love to be bullish but the fact is the European and Chinese consumers simply wont buy as many iphones as they did the last few years. The energy bills in Europe are killing the consumer, and China has problems with falling real estate and lockdowns which weaken the consumer as well. Americans cant buy any more iphones than they did during stimulus either. I am not seeing company earnings holding up. Why would they?

    • GrittyThumbs Doups
      GrittyThumbs Doups Hace 17 días

      on the flip side, all that news is known and factored into the market and the S&P is still chuggin along

    • Drigo Crews
      Drigo Crews Hace 21 un día

      "MANUPILATION"

  • William Read
    William Read Hace 10 días

    Wait, you said the low was in June and we were in a bull market in July, are you admitting you were wrong here? 🤣

  • Ifteker Jaigirder
    Ifteker Jaigirder Hace 19 días

    Thanks for your videos as always. Looks like 413 SPY , XLK 140, head and shoulders?

  • JarheadJah
    JarheadJah Hace 22 días +2

    I need and want more Pain!!! I don't want to recover just yet 😁

  • Rob Canteras
    Rob Canteras Hace 22 días

    Nice video adam. Thanks for the information.

  • The Bear
    The Bear Hace 22 días +1

    My favorite investor.

  • GGG
    GGG Hace 13 días

    We Need Adam Khoo

  • Cubu
    Cubu Hace 22 días +1

    Comprende.. :D I like your style and keep it up. :)

  • xTRIPv
    xTRIPv Hace 22 días +1

    First comment! Thank you so much for the informative video!

  • A Ali
    A Ali Hace 10 días

    People saying that Adam called the prior drawdowns as bottom was incorrect. The thing is Adam Khoo NEVER CALLED THE BOTTOM. He said it’s LIKELY ITS A BOTTOM. There is a HUGE DIFFERENCE. And he backs his statement with past research that he shares with you FOR FREE. So please keep your misunderstandings to YOURSELF

  • Cm Yong
    Cm Yong Hace 21 un día +2

    ins't the US inflation now is also caused by the 'services' part, which mean the salaries for the people?

  • Q uantum
    Q uantum Hace 21 un día +1

    I

  • Tammy Tamz
    Tammy Tamz Hace 21 un día +1

    I enjoyed this video! I wish you posted more often 😊✌️❤️

  • Zak Yam
    Zak Yam Hace 22 días +1

    You have been reducing my wariness.

  • YOLO
    YOLO Hace 22 días

    Me waiting Adam's video update 🤓

  • brandon kim
    brandon kim Hace 22 días +1

    most relevant would be the average shiller pe during the 1970s

  • KT Phan
    KT Phan Hace 19 días +1

    No big deal ! :))

  • message 👉Oneworldhack OnTelegram

    ANOTHER 👆👆SUCCESSFUL TRANSACTION DONE THANK YOU FOR THE 10,000 USDT AGAIN!!

  • Syahmi RM
    Syahmi RM Hace 19 días +1

    Insightful video. Thanks brother Adam 🙏🏽

  • אהוב ה '
    אהוב ה ' Hace un día

    Спасибо.

  • Universalis
    Universalis Hace 13 días

    Great stuff here

  • R L
    R L Hace 22 días +1

    How do we get your newsletter?

  • Beatrice Souza Correia
    Beatrice Souza Correia Hace 21 un día +2

    The software company said it expects fiscal-year revenue of $544 million to $547 million, up from its previous forecast range of $536 million to $540 million. Analysts polled by FactSet had been calling for fiscal-year revenue of $535.5 million.

  • Yamcha
    Yamcha Hace 22 días +1

    the SPY target is 320...we nowhere near the floor.

    • PositiveVibes
      PositiveVibes Hace 22 días

      I remember the SPY crossing 300 and it wasn't that long ago tbh. Everyone was saying the market was vastly over priced at that time. Only QE or QT matter to the market and we are in QT right now.

  • Peggy Turner
    Peggy Turner Hace 20 días +3

    I used to feel overwhelmed when my portfolio would drop a few dollars. Now that I've learned how the market works, I see bear markets as a giant opportunity to build generational wealth for me and my family. In just 5 months my portfolio have accrued gains of over $300k

    • D F
      D F Hace 18 días

      Sounds false, that would mean you were only starting to buy recently ! What about all averaging down losses you would be holding ?

  • Lvis Pazley
    Lvis Pazley Hace 22 días

    May the j Powell be with you..!

  • STRUONG Cosmetic
    STRUONG Cosmetic Hace 21 un día +1

    👍

  • Alex Zagariya
    Alex Zagariya Hace 12 días +1

    Everybody comment that all will be whiped out in 15 or 30 days....different people saying...please make a comment about it. Thanks alot

  • pcan12
    pcan12 Hace 14 días

    Can you do a video on ADBE?

  • RockTheCage55
    RockTheCage55 Hace 22 días +1

    and again your looking at the shiller pe/cape for the last 10 years (which is pretty much 1 cylce of the cape). That is not NEARLY long enough. Again the the fed is taking away the adrenaline and the market IS expensive so i don't know what the hell you are talking about.

  • FOREX Trading
    FOREX Trading Hace 22 días

    Levels are nice 🤗

  • Pietro Pasotti
    Pietro Pasotti Hace 22 días

    How to join the newsletter?

  • Crystal Plat
    Crystal Plat Hace 11 días

    powell came out and opened his big mouth LOL 🤣